WELCOME TO OPINIONS BASED ON FACTS (OBOF)
&
THINGS
YOU MAY HAVE MISSED (TYMHM)
YEAR ONE
YEAR TWO
YEAR THREE
YEAR FOUR
OBOF YEAR FOUR INDEX
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-01
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Jan. 02, 2014
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-02
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Jan. 09, 2014
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-03
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Jan. 15, 2014
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-04
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Jan. 24, 2014
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-05
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JAN 30, 2014
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-06
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Feb. 06, 2014
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-06 EXTRA
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Feb. 09, 2014
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-07
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Feb. 13, 2014
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OBOF TYMHM PART 14-08
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Feb. 21, 2014
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Agenda
1. Note from Floyd.
2. Which election is most important
- 2014 or 2016?
3. Social Security bounces in
debate.
4. Cost of wars.
NOTE FROM FLOYD
I
believe this is the latest I have ever been getting this posting to you. Not that it matters to you, but I have gone a
long, long time without falling. That
ended this week and I have been a little behind ever sense.
Even
though this is late I think you will find it quite interesting. Here's to good reading.
~~~
Which is more important, the 2014 elections, or the
2016 elections?
By Floyd
The
2014 elections, particularly in the Senate, is by far the most important, WHY? Think about it, but before you do, let me
give you some "food for thought."
If
Republicans win the Senate in 2014, what will it mean for our nation? There are three Supreme Court Judges that,
quite possibly, may retire in the next two years. Two of them are 77 and one is 80. There has not been any indication from any of
the three that they are planning to retire and I am quite sure they will not
give any indication prior to the 2014 elections.
The
three are:
Antonin
Scalia, 77, born 3-11-36 and appointed to the court by President Reagan in1986.
Anthony
Kennedy, 77, born 7-23-36 and appointed to the court by President Reagan in
1988.
Ruth
Bader Ginsburg, 80, born 3-15-33 and appointed to the court by President
Clinton in 1993.
If any
or all of the three should retire in the next two years and if the Republicans
take over the senate, it is a certainty that no matter who President Obama
nominates for replacement, they will not only not be confirmed, they won't even
be voted on. It would be a dead
issue.
Now,
what would that mean for the 2016 election?
Just suppose that Hillary is elected President. It would mean exactly the same thing for her
as for President Obama. If the Republicans take over the Senate in
2014, you can bet your last dollar that they will do the same in 2016, and
President Hillary Clinton would not be able to get anything done
for the country for four years and then it is quite feasible to think that the
Republicans could take over the White House in 2020.
NOW, IF THAT DOESN'T SCARE YOU, YOU ARE A REPUBLICAN. After three
plus years writing to you, I am pretty sure that any of you who are still
reading, are Democrats, because if you were a Republican you would have stopped
reading my jabbering a long time ago.
NOW, I can't believe THE NEXT BIG THING THAT SHOULD SCARE YOU. Tonight,
Tuesday the 18th of February, Lawrence O'Donnell, who heads up the show
"The Last Word" on MSNBC, reported that the largest Democratic
financial contributor, "Priority USA", and the equivalent of the Koch
Brothers for the Republicans, has said
that they are not going to fund very much for the 2014 election and are going
to go all out for the 2016. NOW, I ASK YOU, WHAT KIND OF SENSE DOES THAT MAKE? THEY JUST AS WELL SAVE ALL THEIR MONEY FOR
BOTH ELECTIONS AS THE 2016 ELECTION IS ALREADY DECIDED IF WE WRITE OFF THE
2014 ELECTION.
~~~
Social Security
Bounces in Debate
Peter McDermott
New America Media / News Report
Published: Sunday 16 February 2014
From its passage in 1935, Social Security was
to be one leg
of the retirement income stool, along with
savings and private pensions. Both of those legs, though, have fallen short for
most older Americans.
Prof. Eric Kingson asked in class recently, “Has anyone
in this room ever received Social Security benefits?”
He raised his hand because his father died when he was
young. But he intended it, in part, as a rhetorical question, to which his
answer was: “Every one of you has received something from Social Security from
the day you were born.” The teacher of
social work at Syracuse
University said that each
had gotten the gift of insurance.
“People largely take it for granted,” said Kingson, a
cofounder and director of the advocacy group Social
Security Works. “We assume
it’s there. It’s seamless. It’s like the
court systems, the highway systems. It functions. You can’t really imagine life without it.”
But some have imagined and plotted a future without it,
often with well-funded campaigns to cut the program.
Kingson said that in recent times, however, the
supporters of the government-run insurance system have seen the debate tilt in
their favor.
Shifting
Debate
“You go back four
years, three years and
the policy discussion
on Social Security was: Do we cut it a lot, do we
eviscerate it in the name of 'strengthening' it or do we just cut it a little? Those were the only two frames that were out
there,” he said.
“The polarity has really shifted. Though there is a momentum still for those who
want to see some sort of a cut, the discussion now is much more about expanding
benefits,” Kingson said.
“A funny thing happened on the way to the chained-CPI,”
he said, referring to the plan to substitute a new way of adjusting Social
Security’s annual cost of living increase for inflation.
“It was a Republican idea, but the [Obama] Administration
proposed it as a way to gain Republican support for tax increases,” Kingson
said.
“The press over time has picked up that it
isn’t just a technical change. It’s a
way to cut benefits,” he added. “I think
that realization has sunk in.
“Many Democrats came out against some proposals, one of
them being the chained-CPI,” he added. And the reasons for the shift in
the debate over time? “Persistence and
knowledge,” he said. Experts like Kingson have had to counter well-funded
efforts that argue for drastic cuts to Social Security, as well as to Medicare
and Medicaid. Billionaire and former
Nixon cabinet member Peter G. Peterson alone has spent in excess of $400
million in an attempt to link these programs to the issue of the national debt.
Such campaigns have had the greatest impact on media
pundits and politicians from both parties in Washington, but not so much, if at
all, among voters, in Kingson’s view.
A poll in mid-November taken in 10 states that will face
competitive Senate races showed that up to three-quarters of voters said they
would punish any candidate who voted for cuts in Social Security, while
two-thirds supported an increase in benefits.
Fighting
Bad Proposals
“All of the emphasis has been on fighting bad proposals”
from both parties and the Administration, said Kingson, “but we’re at the cusp
in a change of the politics.”
Social Security Works sponsored a conference at the end
of October in the Hart
Senate Office
Building about the use of
Social Security to address the retirement-income crisis. It was attended by several leading members of
Congress, some of who have developed proposals for extending the almost 80-
year-old program in key ways.
“Many Americans aren’t going to be positioned to maintain
anything near their standard of living when they get old. And the reality that the one system that
provides the solution is Social Security,” Kingson said, which is only “a
partial solution.” From its passage in
1935, Social Security was to be one leg of the retirement income stool, along
with savings and private pensions. Both
of those legs, though, have fallen short for most older Americans.
Social Security Works frames its detailed policy positions
against the backdrop of the “extraordinary” growth in income inequality over
the last three decades or so.
“Who are the big winners in terms of the tax giveaways in
the past 10 or 14 years,” its cofounder asked?
As the policy advisor to two presidential commissions on
Social Security--one during the Reagan era, in 1982-3, and the other in 1994
under the Clinton
presidency--Kingson has long been familiar with the various “red herrings” used
in the debate.
One tactic has been to pit younger adults against older
age groups. These days, it’s suggested
that the baby boomers will use up resources that should be put aside for future
generations. Thirty years ago, the
refrain was that those then entering the retired population were stealing from the baby boomers.
None of it makes sense, according to Kingson “It’s
disingenuous politics,” he said.
Setting the record straight, by Floyd.
Lets be completely factual and straight about this stealing matter. During the Reagan Administration in 1983,
there were changes made in SS to handle the increase need to pay benefits to
the baby boomers. Up until that time,
the FICA (Federal Insurance Collection Account) was paid to provide benefits
for the previous generation. The FICA
rate was increase considerably, so that the baby boomer generation paid, not
only for the previous generation, but also, for their own generation.
It was determined that this increase would provide a trust fund of $2.7
trillion by the time baby boomers began to retire. The plan was a good one, except for one
thing.
Every President and Congress, beginning with Reagan himself, have taken the
surplus that was suppose to be in the trust fund and spent it. Stealing it is a more accurate word. They have spent it on other programs and
wars. There is a big argument now as to
the value of the government bonds that were placed in the trust fund when money
was taken out. I won't get into that
here as it would simply be too long.
However, from what I know, I don't believe the bonds have any monetary
value. The only value they have is the
supposedly good faith of the U.
S. Government to repay the money the bonds
represent. It is an accounting method
only. Given our economic situation
today, I don't know how the Government can pay back $2.7 trillion to the trust
fund. There would be no SS problem today
at all, if that money had not been stolen, embezzled, or whatever you want to
call it.
The income from FICA today does not meet the benefits paid out and the
Government has to make up the difference.
To me, that simply is a very, very small pay back towards the $2.7
trillion.
Human Dignity
The professor has described Social Security as a
“uniquely American institution.” Comparing
it to another feature of national life, the native New Yorker said, “When you
have a pothole, you don’t say: ‘Rip up the interstate high- way system!’”
He wrote recently with his Social Security Works
cofounder Nancy Altman, a former legislative aide to former Republican Senator
John C. Danforth, “As powerful and effective as private enterprise is, there
are certain tasks that are performed better collectively and cooperatively
through government. One of those tasks
is the economic security provided by Social Security when wages are lost as the
result of disability, death, or old age.”
For Kingson, who previously taught at Boston College ,
one aspect of Jesuit theology gets to the heart of the issue: “This notion that
human dignity is very important, that we are on this Earth and we have an
obligation to each other and maintaining dignity is critical. “It’s
a difficult sell in a Madison Avenue world. We’re such a cynical society. The ’80s invited us to be very selfish and to
really not think about others,” he added.
Still, there have been signs of a tectonic shift, he
noted, Pope Francis I being one of them.“I found myself in class the other day
saying ‘our pope,’” said Kingson, who is Jewish. “Many of us have taken
ownership of this seemingly spiritual human being. The man seems to live what
he believes. And he’s also communicating it. That’s good. That’s an unambiguous good.”
On social justice issues, the Syracuse professor can switch with ease to
the political and the national. The
attack on Social Security, he said, is part of the “assault on government and
on the idea of the commonweal. I think it’s dangerous.”
Kingson continued, “Some things hold us together as
families, as society. This is one of the
institutions. It’s critical in holding the nation together,” Kingson said,
“enabling people to help themselves, but also expressing the best parts of this
country.”
~~~
Wars in Afghanistan , Iraq
to Cost U.S. Over $4 Trillion
Pierce Nahigyan
NationofChange
/ News Report
Published: Tuesday 18 February 2014
In
March 2013, the Harvard University Kennedy
School of Government issued a report
on the costs of America’s wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Presently, these conflicts, which America has been fighting for over
a decade, have totaled approximately $2 trillion in war debt.
This figure includes direct
outlays for America ’s
three main military operations:
·
Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF) - The official
name for America ’s war in Afghanistan .
·
Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) - The official name
for America ’s war in Iraq
(which some may remember by its original title: Operation Iraqi Liberation,
or OIL).
·
Operation New Dawn (OND) - The official title for America ’s war in Iraq under President Obama’s
command (2010 to present).
These
operations were implemented under the umbrella of America ’s Global War on Terror. In 2006, President George W. Bush would tell CNBC that
the war on terror was nothing less than “the first counter-attack to World War
III.”
That
counter-attack, or World War III, continues through the present day, twelve
years after the first and only attack on America ’s home soil since the turn
of the century. In that time, America has
financed its $2 trillion war mainly by borrowing from foreign lenders. It has in fact only
paid $260 billion of that so far, which is merely the interest accrued on our
debt.
Yet the ultimate costs of America ’s wars in the Middle
East will accumulate long after they have officially ended. Medical care and disability benefits will be
due to their veterans for a generation to come, damaged equipment will need to
be replaced, and Obama has promised to build a “Strategic Partnership” with Afghanistan .
This will likely include American
management of its police and military forces.
All told, Harvard calculates
that the price tag for these conflicts will double and potentially triple. That means $4 trillion at its most
conservative and $6 trillion at its highest.
Putting This in Perspective: Past Wars
When we approach these numbers,
their sheer size makes them difficult to comprehend. The best way to illustrate America ’s vast
military expenditures is by comparing its present to its former wars.
In the
fiscal year 2011, the Iraq
and Afghan wars had cost the U.S. $1.15 trillion. At the time, only World War II had been more
expensive, totaling $4.10 trillion in expenditures
(adjusted for inflation). Comparatively, Vietnam totaled $738 billion and
the first Gulf War $102 billion.
The Iraq and Afghan wars have also been
fought by one of the smallest militaries in American history. Over 16 million people served in theaters of
war or in support roles during World War II. Vietnam
and Korea
had over 8 million and 5 million in active service respectively. The first Gulf War had 2.2 million people in
active service.
Putting This in Perspective: Total Budget vs. the World
The United States treasury divides
annual spending into three groups: Mandatory, Discretionary and Interest on
Debt. Interest paid on the federal debt
comprises about 6 percent of the annual budget. Mandatory Spending (about 64 percent of the
budget) includes earned-benefit programs such as SNAP (i.e. food stamps) and
Social Security. This spending is
determined by eligibility and cannot be altered by Congress. On the other hand,
Discretionary Spending (about 30 percent of the budget) is decided by Congress
directly.
For the
fiscal year 2014,
President Obama has allotted 57 percent of the $1.15 trillion Discretionary
Spending budget to go towards the military. Six percent is allotted for
Veterans’ Benefits, 6 percent for Education, 3 percent to International Affairs
and so on in progressively smaller pieces of the pie.
Though
the military receives over half of the United States ’ Discretionary
Spending budget, it in no way covers the ballooning costs of its current wars. This despite the fact that defense spending in
general has ballooned continuously since September 11 (though in reality America ’s
defense budget has been incrementally increasing since the start of the Cold
War). America ’s
Defense budget grew from $287 billion in 2001
to $645.7 billion in 2013.
These
fractions of America’s discretionary spending dwarf the total national budgets
of both Afghanistan and Iraq, though the
combatants American troops are facing in these countries are largely insurgent
forces with even less capital to spend on weapons and soldiers. These are America ’s only nominal “enemies,” and yet America ’s
defense budget continues to grow.
In 2012
the United States
spent more on defense than the next ten highest defense budgets combined. That’s more than China ,
Russia , the UK , Japan ,
France , Saudi Arabia , India ,
Germany , Italy and Brazil .
Putting This in Perspective: What We’re Paying For
When
Donald Rumsfeld was serving as the Secretary of Defense for the Bush
administration, he said that the military would be in and out of Iraq
in four months. He told the press, “I don’t do quagmires.”
Bush’s
Senior Economic Advisor, Lawrence Lindsey, told the Wall Street Journal that
the war would cost no more than $200 billion. Both he and Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill
were forced to resign in 2002. According to Republican Strategist Scott Reed, “They
didn’t send a message that we knew where we were going, we knew what we were
doing.”
Years after the fact, many
Americans still don’t know why we entered Iraq or what we are still doing
there. We will be paying for this
confusion for decades, a debt compounded by a series of poor choices by the
federal government. Tax cuts for the
wealthy, overseen by the Bush administration, stripped revenue from the federal
budget; to fund the war, over thirty emergency bills were passed in the last decade
to override its regular spending caps; and 2 million Iraqi refugees are
stranded in Syria and now embroiled in its civil war. Will the United States return them to their
liberated nation?
Only compounding this debt is
the staggering price paid by and for the men and women who have fought in these
wars. About 1.56 million American
soldiers are currently receiving medical treatment, over fifty percent of all Iraq and Afghan
veterans. One-third of them suffer from mental health issues, including depression
and post-traumatic stress disorder, and many will for the rest of their lives. Harvard estimates that these disability
benefits will add up to $836 billion in the coming decades.
And yet every tank, round of
munition, boot on the ground, drone, vehicle and death fails to justify two
wars fought for too long with too much borrowed money.
There is no way to fix this
problem. All we can do is pay for it.
ABOUT Pierce Nahigyan
Pierce Nahigyan is a staff writer for Nation of Change. He resides in southern California
and holds a B.A. in Sociology and History from Northwestern University .
~~~
If, the good Lord is willing and the creek don't
rise, I'll talk with you again next week, hopefully Wednesday or Thursday,
February 26 or 27.
God Bless
You All
&
God Bless
the United States of America
Floyd