Tuesday, May 19, 2015

OBOF TYMHM & MORE Vol 15 - No 12


OPINOINS  BASED  ON FACTS (OBOF)

THINGS YOU MAY HAVE MISSED (TYMHM)

YEAR ONE

YEAR TWO

YEAR THREE

YEAR FOUR

YEAR FIVE

 

OBOF YEAR FIVE INDEX
 
OBOF TYMHM
Jan. 07, 2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 1
Jan. 19, 2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 2
Feb.  03, 2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 3
Feb.  23, 2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 4
Mar.  02, 2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 5
Mar.  06, 2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 6
Mar.  13, 2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 7
Mar.   23, 2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 8
Mar.  28,  2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 9
Apr.  13,  2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 10
May  02,  2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 11
May  09,  2015
OBOF TYMHM Vol 15 - No 12
May  19, 2015

 

Agenda


1.  Mics. short articles from papers around the country, plus thoughts from Floyd.

2.  Run Bernie Run.

3.  Don't underestimate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

4.  Movement Builders Should Listen to Bernie Sanders—Focus on Mass Action, Not Candidates.

5.  Bernie Sander’s ‘Political Revolution’ Can Only Come About if He Abandons the Democrats.

 

1. Top story: Obama defends trade deal

Obama talked about trade in a speech at Nike's headquarters, which some felt was an odd choice. "President Obama made a forceful new case for global trade Friday at the headquarters of footwear giant Nike, for decades a symbol of outsourcing, eroding corporate labor standards and the dark side of globalization. Many people, including fellow Democrats who are deeply skeptical of Obama's trade agenda, were mystified by the choice of location, at what they consider to be the starting line of globalization's economic race to the bottom."  

Mike DeBonis in The Washington Post.

~~~

That said, a trade deal in the Pacific could help workers in places like Vietnam.  "Take Vietnam, for example, where about a third of the people who make Nike products work.  Its labor laws have come under criticism for being notoriously weak, child labor and human trafficking are rampant and unions free of government control do not exist.  If Vietnam joins the TPP, Nike will no longer have to pay tariffs to import shoes that range from eight to 15 percent (a cost that adds about $3 to each pair).  U.S. companies will get additional protections for their intellectual property so Vietnamese contractors can't just replicate it.  And U.S. companies will also have the ability to sue in an international court if they feel like they have been treated any worse than a Vietnamese company.  All of those changes, which give U.S. companies greater protections and conveniences when doing business in countries party to the agreement, will likely lead to a flood of footwear and apparel contracting into Vietnam... and wages in Vietnam will probably rise."

Lydia DePillis in The Washington Post.

~~~

 

With a crucial vote in the Senate on Tuesday, the deal's prospects are uncertain. "Obama’s most aggressive and sustained legislative push since the Affordable Care Act faces a crucial first test this week when a divided Senate considers a bill that would grant him accelerated power to complete a massive trade accord with 11 nations across the Pacific Rim. But after lobbying members of Congress in a campaign that has included rides on Air Force One, meetings in the West Wing, private vows of political support and public attacks on critics in his own party, Mr. Obama’s top legislative priority remains at risk. ... It will get only more difficult for the president as the debate moves from the Senate to the House. Republicans on whom Mr. Obama is relying to provide the bulk of the votes for the trade measure are finding their colleagues — many aligned with the Tea Party — reluctant to hand the president a victory. Leaders have warned the White House that they may not be able to supply enough votes to compensate for balky members of the president’s own party."

Julie Hirschfeld Davis and Jonathan Weisman in The New York Times.

~~~

BAI: Obama also had harsh words for Warren (D-Mass.).  "'She’s absolutely wrong,' Barack Obama said, before I could even get the question out of my mouth. ... This past week, as I had just reminded Obama, Warren launched her heaviest torpedo yet against the trade deal, alleging that some future president might use it as an excuse to undo the reregulation of Wall Street that Obama signed into law in 2010. ...  'The notion that I had this massive fight with Wall Street to make sure that we don’t repeat what happened in 2007, 2008.  And then I sign a          tgr541                                                          AS` provision that would unravel it?  I’d have to be pretty stupid,' Obama said, laughing."


~~~

Run Bernie Run.

 

 Author: Michael T. Hertz

  NationofChange  Op-Ed

 Published: April 30, 2015

 

FROM FLOYD:

 

The good news about my health said goodby this week. Took a fall big time.  Thus, being so late again.  I sure appreciate all of you continuing to tune in.  I'll keep trying to get information to you that I think is important to all of us and based on as much fact as I can find.

 

I previously said, that I was not going to get into the 2016 election until about July 2016.  I am making an exception here because, I have a great respect for Senator Bernie Sanders and the articles below sets the stage for his running for President quite well and interesting.  Previously, I said that none of the present contenders set me on fire, but I've got to tell you, Senator Sanders has already lit a fire for me.  I'll get off this political stump next week.

 

 

~

BEINART: Don't underestimate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

"By conventional standards, Sanders’s candidacy is absurd: He’s not well known, he doesn’t have big money donors, he’s not charismatic, and by Beltway standards, he’s ideologically extreme.  But candidates with these liabilities have caught fire before.  Think of Jerry Brown...  Pat Buchanan...  Howard Dean...  Ron Paul...  While Sanders lacks Warren’s charisma—he’s the Eugene McCarthy to her Robert Kennedy—he shares a key quality with the successful insurgents of the past: authenticity.  Like Ron Paul, he has held firm to his ideological convictions for decades, despite the mockery of the political mainstream. And he articulates those convictions bluntly and without artifice."


~

It’s finally happening.  Someone is challenging Hilary Clinton for the Democratic nomination. And that someone is Bernie Sanders, the Senator from Vermont.

Or is he?  There is talk all over that, even though he has thrown his hat into the ring, Bernie is not focused so much on winning as on dragging Hilary (or whoever is nominated) to the progressive left.  In other words, he is in the race to do what Elizabeth Warren says she is trying to do outside the race: force the Democrats towards a progressive position on many topics.

There is also the significant question as to whether even if he were nominated Bernie could win.  Since 1964, there hasn’t been a Democrat who has run on an openly progressive platform and won.  After Johnson’s win in 1964, Humphrey lost in 1968 and McGovern was trounced in 1972.  Carter came in 1976, but he was really centrist, and then he lost to Reagan in 1980.  In 1984 Mondale lost and in 1988 Dukakis lost.  Clinton won in 1992 and 1996, but he was centrist.  Gore lost in 2000 and Kerry lost in 2004. Obama won, and he suggested that he was progressive, but he has done things that are not progressive and his major accomplishment at home (Obamacare) was watered down substantially from                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         There’s a lot of fear on the Democratic side that                                                            Bernie might be another McGovern or Dukakis.  As                                                                                                                                                             well he might.  On the other hand, although Hilary     looks “unbeatable,” she really isn’t.  She has more scandals lurking in the background than any candidate in recent memory, and perhaps in history.  This has been pointed out from the right and the left.

While she may be able to shrug off some of them, there are so many – and they are likely to be repeated ad nauseum going forward – that it will be hard for the electorate to ignore them.  So much baggage could take her down.  Of course, with Bernie in the race, Hillary’s baggage will come under public scrutiny well before the Democratic nomination.  We have over a year before the conventions and even a long time before the Iowa caucuses (February 1, 2016).

The only fortunate thing for Hillary and the Democrats in general is that most                                                                                                                                               e Republican nomination.  Ted Cruz seems plain crazy. Chris Christie has his own scandals.  Rick Perry seems dumb.  The only two who appear to avoid either really extreme programs or personal problems are Marco Rubio and Scott Walker.  Scott Walker vs. Hillary Clinton might well result in a Republican victory.  So, too, might Marco Rubio.

Can Bernie Sanders beat either of them?  Fortunately for him, the Koch Brothers have decided to support Scott Walker.  So, Bernie could fairly accuse him of being a tool of the billionaires and that might work well.  Hillary, on the other hand, has so much personal wealth (Bill and she collectively have over $100 million.)  – and appears so tied into Wall Street — that it would be hard for her to argue that she is combating the billionaires.

This leaves Marco Rubio as probably the least problematic Republican candidate.  He does have some problems with the Republicans who are anti-Latino, but he would probably draw more than enough Ltinos to offset that issue.  On the other hand, he, too, appears to be tied into Wall Street.

So, Bernie Sanders could use his “beat the billionaires” campaign with the two most likely Republican nominees, while Hillary could not because of her own money ties.  But Rubio and Bernie share one quality: neither have a lot of personal wealth.

In case you didn’t know it, Bernie is 84th out of 100 senators in wealth, with $406,500 in 2012. Marco Rubio supposedly had only net assets of $379,506 in 2010, although that was a huge increase over the previous year.  He is reputed to be one of the least wealthy Senators due to his student loans.  (The data on politicians wealth is really very flaky, unfortunately).

So even if Marco Rubio appears tied to Wall Street, he can play up his immigrant background and his present personal lack of wealth

There’s a lot of time between now and even the opening of the Iowa caucuses.  We still don’t know whether Elizabeth Warren might not join the race.  Or she might back Hillary or Bernie, who can tell?  Bernie may really start a grass roots movement.  Hillary may become deluged with scandal.

It’ll probably be a horse race.

~~~

Movement Builders Should Listen to Bernie Sanders—Focus on Mass Action, Not Candidates

  Author: Kate Aronoff

           Waging Nonviolence  Op-Ed

                                                                    Published: May 12, 2015 

Is Bernie Sanders a more progressive presidential candidate than Hillary Clinton?  Undoubtedly. Will he single-handedly catalyze a united left front in the United States?  Probably not.

Unchallenged, Hillary Clinton is likely to run a campaign chock-full of populist optics, but thin on any real engagement with the issues that make progressives most nervous about her bid: foreign policy, welfare, corporate influence and more. Sanders, a registered independent, who caucuses with Democrats yet identifies as a democratic socialist, has been unafraid to talk about class inequality, even — heaven forbid — capitalism.  He’s even started bringing a long-taboo word back into mainstream American political conversation: socialism.

As Ned Resnikoff points out for Al Jazeera, Americans’ stance toward socialism has been thawing since the Cold War.  Between Occupy Wall Street, Kshama Sewant’s election to Seattle City Council, and — now — Sanders’ candidacy, it may finally be possible to de-link the “S Word” from the gulags and authoritarianism of the Soviet Union, and re-associate with such basic amenities as healthcare, education and housing.  According to a 2011 Gallup poll, 49 percent of 18-29 year olds even have a positive view of socialism.  With any hope, this year’s Democratic primary debates will challenge Clinton to choose firm sides on these issues, and maybe even build them into her platform in response to the vocal minority more endeared to Sanders’ populism than Clinton’s smug establishmentarianism.  NOW THERE IS QUITE A WORD FOR YOU. - Floyd

Likewise, Sanders, with some notable silences, generally espouses views closer to those of activists within today’s emergent movements for social justice. Beyond words, though, what could his candidacy as a Democrat mean for organizers on the ground?  While a left-of Clinton Democratic contender may help positively shape the debate going into primary season, electing a progressive into the White House doesn’t mean anything unless there’s a movement infrastructure in place to hold them truly accountable.

Smartly, Elizabeth Warren — maybe in a move to preserve her chances for 2020 or 2024 — has repeatedly declined the left flank of the Democratic Party’s calls for her to run for president.  Still, as a recent New Yorker profile of Warren pointed out, Warren’s role is as the Democrats’ squeaky, anti-establishment wheel and a bulldog on Wall Street bankers, Republicans, and centrist Democrats alike; there’s also no indication she won’t make a run in the future.  By that time, America’s progressives, working together, may be well organized enough to actually put someone into office they can trust — and have enough street heat to make sure they don’t go back on their word.

As Joel Bleifuss argues over at In These Times, candidates are nothing without grassroots supporters ready and willing to take their candidates to bat should they screw up.  Sanders himself told MSNBC that “No president, not Bernie Sanders, not anybody, will succeed [in taking on the oligarchs] unless there is a mass mobilization of millions of people who stand up and say enough is enough.”

Looking towards the 2016 elections, those attempting to build or catalyze transformative movements should take Sanders’s own advice — part of which might mean putting a little less faith in the man himself.

Focusing on candidates themselves, however, aligned with a movement’s views, is a flawed way to approach achieving major progressive wins.  As Arun Gupta writes for Telesur TV, “go ahead and vote for Sanders and Clinton, but that’s all.  Spend the rest of your time, energy and money on building militant grassroots activism.”  Rather than stumping for Sanders or some Warrenite specter of Hillary that will never exist, organizers might devote their time to building out movements that won’t just ask for center stage come election time, but make it impossible to imagine candidates who aren’t vying for those movements’ support, even tapping its leaders for their   cabinets.

If Barack Obama’s hawkish, hardly “change” filled presidency has been any indication, elected officials are only as valuable as the masses holding their feet to the fire.  As a legitimate candidate, Sanders has the potential to claw open conversations that organizers have been pushing for years, creating rare opportunities in the national dialogue that grassroots forces can use to their advantage.  It may even make the next administration, Republican or Democratic, less devastating to working families, communities of color and the planet.  But on issues as pressing as violent, systemic racism, climate change, and severe economic inequality, good candidates won’t save us. Strong movements will — and they could make the next election cycle one to get truly excited about.

~~~

Bernie Sander’s ‘Political Revolution’ Can Only Come About if He Abandons the Democrats

FROM FLOYD:

As you read this article keep in mind that it is my understanding that as a Independent, Sanders might not be able to get on the ballot in all 50 States.  In addition, if abandoned the Democratic status, he would not be allowed in the debates.

 

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), who just declared his presidential campaign in late April, is running to win, and says the United States will need a “political revolution” to do it. After the Democrats caved on fast-tracking the Trans-Pacific Partnership, Bernie’s political revolution may actually happen, but only if he abandons the Democratic Party and continues his campaign as an Independent.

This week, Senate Democrats caved in an unprecedented 24-hour period on fast-tracking the maligned Trans-Pacific Partnership – the largest global free trade deal in a generation. Tuesday, Democrats in the Senate appeared to have thwarted President Obama’s pressure to speed through a classified treaty that corporate attorneys have spent the last several years writing behind closed doors.

Opponents of the agreement argued that the deal would be catastrophic for American jobs and workers’ rights around the globe, and blasted the deal’s lack of concern for even the most basic environmental standards. Yet, by Wednesday, Senate Democrats had made a deal with party leadership to agree on fast-tracking the TPP if standalone bills on currency manipulation were voted on first. Even though Democrats got nothing in terms of worker protections or environmental guarantees, they caved anyway.

Bernie Sanders has been one of the most vocal opponents of the TPP in either house of Congress, recently tag-teaming with Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) to stall a vote on the agreement with dozens of amendments and procedural delays. On the campaign trail, Sanders has vowed to end shadowy, closed-off negotiations of trade deals kept secret from the American public. He’s also loudly criticized the TPP’s Investor-State Dispute Settlements, which would allow corporations to set up their own kangaroo courts to override any member nation’s regulations on business if they’re deemed to negatively affect corporate profits.

The fact that the party Sanders has caucused with throughout his time in Congress so directly ignored his warnings and supported passing the deal without scrutiny from the American public is a direct slap in the face to him and his nascent campaign. If Sanders responded by abandoning the Democratic Party entirely, it would create a shockwave in American politics.

Just two weeks after announcing his presidential campaign, Bernie Sanders has already doubled his polling position and raised more money in 24 hours than several top Republican candidates did in their first day, including Marco Rubio, Rand Paul and Ted Cruz. As of May 6, Sanders raised $4 million – 99.4% of which came from donors giving $250 or less.

Roughly 200,000 volunteers have signed up to help his campaign. Clearly, his message of taking on the billionaire class that owns Washington, making four-year college free for Americans, and breaking up the big banks behind the financial crisis is resonating with everyday folks. If Sanders broke with the Democrats and ran as an independent, most of those volunteers and donors would stick with him. They’re supporters of Bernie, not the Democratic Party.

On one hand, it’s easy to see why Sanders launched his campaign within the Democratic Party. Even though the Vermont senator is a lifelong independent, he’s also a realist who knows that to run a campaign that has a chance of winning a first-past-the-post, winner-take-all race with 270 Electoral College votes, it has to be done within the two-party structure. Candidates from other parties, like the Green Party’s Jill Stein or the Justice Party’s Rocky Anderson, have revolutionary ideas but are forever relegated to outside status by the punditocracy that has trained Americans about who is acceptable to vote for based on dollars raised and pollsters’ rankings. Without Elizabeth Warren in the race, Sanders is the standalone progressive populist in the Democratic primary.

However, running as a Democrat means Sanders is second to Hillary Clinton, who has pledged to raise $2.5 billion this election cycle. To highlight the absurdity of that number, it would be more money raised for just one candidate than the cumulative amount raised by both Barack Obama and Mitt Romney in 2012, combined. The fact remains that American elections favor those with more money – candidates with the most campaign cash tend to win nine times out of 10. Clinton will be counting on that deluge of cash to flood the airwaves in her favor and drown out anything Sanders would say. She’s also likely to test Sanders’s populist rhetoric in focus groups for her own campaign, and use the more agreeable points to paint herself as the “reasonable” candidate to shore up enough Democrats to guarantee her the win. Sanders has already pledged to throw his support behind Clinton if she indeed wins the nomination, leading some critics to call him a “sheepdog” used to herd leftist energy into the same Democratic Party that’s let the American people down over and over again.

comments

From Floyd:

There were more than 150 comments after this article.  I choose a couple as those that I felt stated points we should be concerned about.  You, of course, may totally disagree or agree.  The price is right.

 


 

And I would add - Have we forgotten that a person ran as a Democrat, yet his platform was different from other Democrats.  And this person won and was able to get most of his positions accomplished.  That was FDR. Today he would be a Green Party member, but he didn't have to be in order to bring our country out of the Depression.

 


 

Why is the TPP continually called a trade deal when there are 27 chapters and only 5 deal with trade? What about the internet?  What about banking?  What about protecting our judicial system?  What about protecting environmental laws that affect our water, air, and food supply?  What about the OTHER 27 chapters?  This is a One World Order clambake that brings out the true Obama corporatist-affiliations.

 

I think the concentration on the 5 chapters right now is the five that have been leaked.  In my opinion, all anyone should need to sh-tcan this deal is the chapter on the ISDS tribunals made up of a rotating group of corporate attorneys which, essentially, gives corporations the status of nation-states and the tribunal the power of a nation's judiciary...except no appeals process!

 

Bnerin I, too, disagree with Carl Gibson as many of the responders also have. Just because he is running as a Democrat does not mean that he will be like Obama or Hillary.  Nor does it mean that he has to drop all the things he says he wants to do if elected. The reason that most people have dropped out of voting is that no one is laying the right kind of cards on the table as Sanders does.  And unlike Obama, Sanders will not back off of his platform because he is not financed by the 1% as Obama was. Obama's weakness is that he did win by the vast amount of money he got from the wealthy donors and supporters and became their servant.

 

By running as a Democrat, and winning, he has the chance to be on all 50 states ballots whereas as a third party person he could not be on all the ballots.

 

If Sanders has any weakness it is his foreign policy which he has said little of, but his past votes as a Congressman and Senator gives us an insight as to how he stands on foreign issues, and I would not like some of his actions like supporting Israel's attack on Gaza.  What we voters who like Sanders domestic policies must do from now to the day of voting in 2016 is to tell him what our views are regarding foreign policies.  There are thousands of warriors whose life showed them how awful and fruitless these wars have been under the Republican and Democrats since the Vietnam war to the latest Drone killings.  

 

There are millions of citizens suffering from lack of a living wage, lack of universal healthcare, both husband and wife working to the detriment of their children, - all under both Democrats and Republicans politicians.  There are millions of Americans seeing that we must take quick action to save our climate or else our grandchildren will be saying "why did you wait so long to save our environment?"  All these citizens are hungry for the needed changes and will be quite willing to vote for a Sanders whether he is a socialist, independent or democrat.

~~~

If the good Lord is willing and I can keep from falling and the creek don't rise, I'll talk with you again, hopefully, on Friday this week. 

God Bless You All

&

God Bless the United States of America.

Floyd

 

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