Tuesday, December 4, 2012

OBOF & TYMHM PART 12


 

WELCOME TO OPINIONS  BASED  ON FACTS (OBOF)

&

THINGS YOU MAY HAVE MISSED (TYMHM)

 

Name
Published
OVERVIEW
Dec. 28, 2010
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 1
Dec. 30, 2010
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 2
Jan. 10, 2011
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 3
Jan. 17, 2011
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 4
Jan. 24, 2011
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 5
Jan. 31, 2011
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 6
Feb. 07, 2011
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 7
Feb. 14, 2011
SPECIAL ISSUE
Feb. 18, 2011
 SOCIAL SECURITY PART 8
Feb. 21, 2011
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 9
Mar. 01, 2011
SOCIAL SECURITY PART 10
Mar. 07, 2011
SS & MORE PART 1
Mar. 14, 2011
SS & MORE PART 1A
Mar. 21, 2011
SS & MORE PART 2
Mar. 25, 2011
SS & MORE PART 3
 Mar. 29, 2011
SS & MORE PART 4
 Apr. 04, 2011
SS & MORE PART 5
 Apr. 11, 2011
SS & MORE PART 6
 Apr. 18, 2011
SS & MORE PART 7
 Apr. 25, 2011
SS & MORE PART 7A     
 Apr. 29, 2011
SS & MORE PART 8
 May 02, 2011
SS & MORE PART 9
 May 09, 2011
 SS & MORE PART 10
 May 16, 2011
SS & MORE PART 11
 May 24, 2011
SS & MORE PART 12
 Jun. 06, 2011
SS & MORE PART 13
 Jun. 20, 2011
SS & MORE PART 14
July  05, 2011
SS & MORE PART 14A
July  18, 2011
SS & MORE PART 15
July  19, 2011
SS & MORE PART 16
Aug. 03, 2011
SS & MORE PART 17
Aug. 15, 2011
SS & MORE PART 18
Aug. 29, 2011
SS & MORE PART 19
Sept. 12, 2011
SS & MORE PART 20
Sept. 26, 2011
SS & MORE PART 21
Oct.   10, 2011
SS & MORE PART 22
Oct.   24, 2011
SS & MORE PART 22 EXTRA
Nov.  04, 2011
SS & MORE PART 23
Nov.  07, 2011
SS & MORE PART 24
Nov.  21, 2011
SS & MORE PART 25
Dec.  05, 2011
SS & MORE PART 26
Dec.  19, 2011
SS & MORE PART 27
JAN.  03, 2012
SS & MORE PART 27A
JAN.  05, 2012
SS & MORE PART 28
JAN.  17, 2012
SS & MORE PART 29
JAN.  31, 2012
SS & MORE PART 30
 Feb.  14, 2012
SS & MORE PART CL1
 Feb.  21, 2012
SS & MORE PART 30 EXTRA
 Feb.  23, 2012
SS & MORE PART 31
 Feb.  28, 2012
SS & MORE PART CL2 - 59
 Mar.  06, 2012
SS & MORE PART 31 EXTRA
 Mar.  07, 2012
SS & MORE PART 32
 Mar.  13, 2012
SS & MORE PART CL3 - 1
 Mar.  20, 2012
SS & MORE PART 32 EXTRA
 Mar.  24, 2012
SS & MORE PART 33
 Apr.  10, 2012
SS & MORE PART CL 4 - 2
 Apr.  17, 2012
SS & MORE PART 34
 Apr.  24, 2012
SS & MORE PART CL5 - 49
 May  01, 2012
SS & MORE PART 35
 May  09, 2012
SS & MORE PART CL6 - 19
 May  15, 2012
SS & MORE PART 35 EXTRA
 May  18, 2012
..   SS & MORE PART 36
 May  22, 2012
SS & MORE PART 36 EXTRA
 May  25, 2012
SS & MORE PART 36
 
                       EXTRA II
 June 01, 2012
SS & MORE PART 37
 June 05. 2012
SS & MORE PART 37 EXTRA
 June 07, 2012
SS & MORE PART 38
 June 12, 2012
SS & MORE PART 39
 June 19, 2012
SS & MORE PART 40
 June 26, 2012
SS & MORE PART 41
 July  03, 2012
SS & MORE PART 42
 July  10, 2012
SS & MORE PART 43
 July  17, 2012
SS & MORE PART 44
 July  24,2012
SS & MORE PART 45
 July  31, 2012
SS & MORE PART 46
 Aug. 07, 2012
SS & MORE PART 46 EXTRA
 Aug. 09, 2012
SS & MORE PART 47
 Aug. 14, 2012
SS & MORE PART 48
 Aug. 21, 2012
SS & MORE PART 49
 Aug. 28, 2012
SS & MORE PART 50
Sept. 04. 2012
SS & MORE PART 51
Sept. 11. 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 1
Sept. 20, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 2              
Sept. 24,2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 3
Oct.  02, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 4
Oct.  04, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 5
Oct.  09, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 6
Oct.  18, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 7
Oct.  24, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 8
Oct.  31, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 8 EXTRA                                           
Nov. 04, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 9
Nov. 13, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 10
Nov. 20, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 11
Nov. 27, 2012
OBOF & TYMHM PART 12
Dec. 04, 2012

 

 

IN THIS ISSUE

 

1.  Opening comments.

2.  Progress on Fiscal Cliff.

3.  White House on Social Security.

4.  Progress on Social Security.

5.  Kill Social Security with a smile.

6.  Debt limit option for the President.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RACE

 

RACE

 

RACE

 

OBSTRUCTIONISM

 

OBSTRUCTIONISM

 

OBSTRUCTIONISM

 

I respect your option to disagree with me regarding the above words, but every action on Capital Hill says exactly that.  I admit that the word "RACE" is an opinion and it is mine.  But the actions of the first and one half weeks after the election, simply leaves me no other conclusion.

 

For example:

 

On the Ed Show, Nov. 27, 2012, Speaker John Boehner said " Obama's economic plan is a failure and the American people know it."  Mitch McConnell, Minority leader in the Senate said "To call this a recovery is an insult to the word recovery."  Ed was using these statements to show how much the Republicans are ignoring the truth.  Bill O'Riley of Fox news said "The truth is that Obama has not improved the economy."  To prove his point, that the President has improved the economy, Ed listed the following facts:

 

          First, there was a record 247 million shoppers buying, this         past Black Friday.

 

          They spent an estimated $59.1 billion.

 

          All this was up 12.8% over last year, 2011.

 

          Home prices in 20 of the largest U. S. cities up for the 6th straight month.   

 

          Home prices are up 3.0% from Sept. 2011.

 

          Thirty two (32) straight months of job growth producing 5.3 million new private sector jobs.

 

          How about this one? Consumer Confidence Index is at the highest level since Feb. 2008 at 73.7.

 

How can you look at these few FACTS and say that there hasn't

been some recovery from the point that we almost had a total collapse of the financial system.

 

You see, this is just one example that shows the Republicans are

still after President Obama and not interested in trying to work with him for the good of the country.  Now, I ask you, what reason, other than he is a Democrat, would they be so blatantly insulting.  They don't have to worry about beating him again in an election and they are just hurting themselves by not working for the good of the country.

 

It is terrible and I regret it, but these southern leaders just can't stand to have to work with a black person that is above them in stature. 

 

~~~

WHAT PROGRESS IS BEING MADE

WITH

THE FISCAL CLIFF

By Floyd Bowman.

Publisher

 "Opinions Based On Facts."

 

The biggest concern right now, in solving the Fiscal Cliff problems, is the ending of the Bush Tax Cuts as of Jan. 1, 2013.  President Obama and the Democrats want the cuts for the wealthy to expire as scheduled, but not the cuts for those making $250,000 a year or less.  Naturally, the Republicans want the cuts to expire for all and then cut taxes even more for those making more than $250,000.

 

Nancy Palosi, the Minority leader in the House, believes that if the bill, they have introduced to save the tax cuts for those making $250,000 or less were brought to the floor for a vote that it would pass with almost a 100% vote.  John Boehner, Speaker of the House, will not let it come to a vote.  SO, she has told the leadership in the House, that if it is not brought up for vote by today, Tuesday Dec. 4, 2012, she is going to start what is called a "Discharge Petition." 

If she can get 218 signatures from members of the House, she can by-pass the Leadership and it must be brought up for a vote.  It is going to be interesting to see how this plays out.  This alone may call for an EXTRA, later this week, along with many other things that are happening. 

 

If she is successful, the Republicans are going to be between a rock and a hard place.  This is a bill to cut taxes and for Republicans to vote against a tax cut bill is just an absolute no, no.   

 

~~~

White House Rules Social Security Out of ‘Fiscal Cliff’ Talks

Pat Garofalo

Think Progress / News Report

Published: Wednesday 28 November 2012

 

 

White House spokesman Jay Carney said Monday that Social Security is one entitlement program that should be addressed on a “separate track.”

 

 

According to White House Press Secretary Jay Carney, Social Security should not be on the table during negotiations over the so-called “fiscal cliff,” the set of spending cuts and tax increases scheduled for the end of the year.  Carney rightly noted that Social Security has nothing to do with today’s deficits:

White House spokesman Jay Carney said Monday that Social Security is one entitlement program that should be addressed on a “separate track.”

“We should address the drivers of the deficit and Social Security currently is not a driver of the deficit,” Carney told reporters today.

Lawmakers are trying to craft a deal to prevent the “fiscal cliff” from occurring, and have pulled Social Security and health care programs into the negotiations.  But Social Security is statutorily barred from adding to the deficit, and is fully funded for more than two decades, unlike scores of other federal programs.  As Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has explained, “Social Security has not added a single penny, not a dime, a nickel, a dollar to the budget problems we have.  Never has.  And for the next 30 years, it won’t do that.”

 

One simple change, raising the cap on the payroll tax so that it is applied to more income for wealthier Americans, would ensure Social Security’s funding for decades to come.  But Senate Republicans — aided by wealthy CEOs — are trying to use the manufactured crisis of the “fiscal cliff” to justify cutting benefits upon which seniors and many others depend.  Last year, Social Security alone kept more than 20 million people out of poverty.

 

~~~

Progress on Social Security


 

Sen. Bernie Sanders on Tuesday welcomed White House assurances that Social Security benefits won’t be cut as part of negotiations on a year-end deficit-reduction deal.  “This is a step in the right direction for more than 55 million Americans who have earned Social Security benefits today and every working American who will receive Social Security benefits in the future,” said Sanders, the founder of the Senate Defending Social Security Caucus.

 “The simple truth is that Social Security has not contributed a nickel to the national debt so it makes no sense for it to be part of deficit negotiations,” he said

“The American people have been clear that Social Security is enormously important to their well-being and that it should not be cut,” Bernie said.  “The election and poll after poll show clearly that the American people want the wealthiest people and the largest corporations in this country, who are doing phenomenally well, to play a significant role in reducing the deficit.”

White House spokesman Jay Carney said on Monday that Social Security should be addressed separately from the lame-duck deficit negotiations.  “We should address the drivers of the deficit and Social Security currently is not a driver of the deficit,” Carney said.

 

~~~

How to Kill Social Security, With a Smile


 

Froma Harrop

NationofChange / Op-Ed

Published: Tuesday 27 November 2012

Social Security's foes need Plan B.

 

Conservatives never much liked Social Security. It's a wildly popular government program that's totally solvent until 2033. It will be easily fixable and by then may not need fixing at all. Doesn't quite fit with the government-can't-do-anything-right talking point.

Then there's the Social Security Trust Fund, a nice hunk of change invested in Treasury securities that some conservatives don't want to pay back. The trust fund represents payroll taxes collected from workers and employers — taxes raised a quarter century ago to provide a cushion against the predicted stresses of an aging population. The money in the trust fund was loaned, not given, to the federal government.

Many conservatives argue that the trust fund doesn't exist, thanks to cheesy accounting of the money. Whoops, it's been spent, they say. Tough luck.

The counterargument goes that the trust fund is real enough that the Treasury may not default on its debt to it without a vote by Congress. Name one rep of either party who would vote for stiffing the trust fund. Counterargument wins.

So Social Security's foes need Plan B.

They already tried Plan A during the George W. Bush years. Recall efforts to privatize the program — that is, let workers put their Social Security payroll tax money into private investment plans. Recall how the boosters tried to sell stocks as a no-lose investment.

 

The beauty of Plan A was that Wall Street would get its cut, and eventually, the federal government would no longer be obligated to cut Social Security checks. But the public was so protective of traditional Social Security that Plan A crashed even before the stock market did.

Plan B starts with means-testing. It is a clever approach because it expropriates liberal rhetoric about the rich helping the poor.

Means-testing would reduce the benefits of the well-to-do while keeping (or raising) them for others. This is an excellent way to destroy the loyalty to the program among our more powerful citizens. The deal could include making permanent the Social Security payroll tax holiday scheduled to expire on Jan. 1 — in the interests of progressive taxation, of course.

Another counter-idea: The payroll tax holiday was always a bad concept from a true liberal perspective. (President Obama backed it as a stimulus measure.) It's bad because Social Security is an earned benefit. You can't easily take away something people know they've paid for.

So here's the work-around: It makes no sense, writes conservative Ross Douthat, "to finance our retirement system with a tax that ... imposes particular burdens on small business and the working class."

How liberal sounding. How sneaky. Start paying for Social Security out of general revenues and reduce benefits for the wealthy, and what do you have? You have welfare. You know what happens to welfare.

Douthat breaks from liberal sweet-talk and gets down to basics. He urges Republicans to regard the payroll tax as "an obstacle — originally created by their political enemies! — to any restraint in what the program spends."

Actually, the law forbids Social Security to take a single penny from general revenues. I can't think of a better spending restraint than that. But the payroll tax is definitely a political restraint on plans to steal the trust fund.

By the way, we already have a system for means-testing. It's called the progressive income tax. If conservatives think rich people should pay more, they can simply let marginal tax rates (and the capital gains tax rate) rise. Complicating Social Security with more means-testing and ending the tax dedicated to keeping it afloat would kill the program — with a smile.

On to Plan C.

 

 

ABOUT Froma Harrop

 

Froma Harrop’s nationally syndicated column appears in over 150 newspapers, including The Dallas Morning News, Houston Chronicle, Seattle Times, Denver Post and Newsday. The twice-a-week column is distributed by Creators Syndicate, in Los Angeles. Harrop has written for numerous other publications, ranging from The New York Times and Institutional Investor, to Harper’s Bazaar and Metropolitan Home. Previously, she covered business for Reuters Ltd., in New York, and was a financial editor for The New York Times News Service. A Loeb Award finalist for economic commentary, Harrop was also honored by the National Society of Newspaper Columnists. Over the years, the New England Associated Press News Executives Association

 

~~~

 

 

The Debt Limit Option President Obama Can Use


 


 The Fiscal Times

April 29, 2011

NOTE FROM FLOYD:

The option, referred to below, is not without precedents.  President Clinton used it, successfully, during his Presidency.  I, personally, don't think that President Obama will hesitate, this time around, to use such an approach.

The vast majority of those commenting on raising the federal debt limit are certain that Congress will act in time to forestall a debt default, which would occur if the Treasury lacked sufficient cash to pay interest due that day or to redeem maturing securities.  The smart money says that Congress could not possibly be so stupid as to permit a default and will raise the debt limit just in time.  Americans would likely agree, however, that some members of Congress really are that stupid. But here’s the good news: An arcane provision in the U.S. Constitution gives the president the edge.

Over the last several weeks, a number of Republican congressmen have said that they will not vote to raise the debt limit unless massive cuts are guaranteed in advance.  Some Republican senators have promised a filibuster against a debt limit increase should it pass the House.  And Tea Party spokesmen have promised strenuous primary opposition for any Republican voting for a debt limit increase.  A Republican running against a Tea Party member for the party nomination could be accused of supporting President Obama to increase the national debt — a charge that would assure an election loss

The Republican leadership is looking for a way to get just enough members to join with Democrats to raise the debt limit by attaching some sort of budget-cutting package or mechanism, such as a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution that would get the necessary votes.  These negotiations will be protracted and any measure that attracted Republican votes would likely lose Democratic votes.  It’s not clear to me that there is any way under current political circumstances of devising a budget package that could be appended to the debt limit that would get sufficient votes for passage before a default occurs.

Some Wall Street types are predicting a financial apocalypse in the event of default.  But there is no evidence that this has moved Republican hardliners one inch.  They heard similar warnings about financial apocalypse in the fall of 2008, leading to passage of TARP, the Troubled Asset Relief Program, which rescued many banks and prevented a meltdown in the banking system.  Although most economists believe that TARP was essential and that the economy would be far worse off had it not been enacted, there’s not a single Republican who will defend it because they universally believe TARP was an unjustified bailout for fat-cat bankers-- a horrible mistake and set a dreadful precedent.

Only a trivial amount of spending was
actually cut by the [shutdown] deal,
leaving many Republicans to believe
they were sold out by their leaders
.


More recently, Republicans and Democrats cut a deal to avoid a government shutdown and voted for the fiscal 2011 appropriation because it contained $38 billion in spending cuts and because their leaders predicted political doom if the government were forced to shut down.  Subsequent analysis, however, showed that only a trivial amount of spending was actually cut by the deal, leaving many in the GOP to believe they were sold out by their leaders.  They are determined to make sure it doesn’t happen again.

Given this experience, Republicans are disinclined to believe apocalyptic rhetoric about the consequences of defaulting on the debt. Indeed, some say they welcome it.  Whatever pain is caused will be temporary, but the benefits of using such a crisis to slash government spending will be worth it, they say.

Republicans are playing not just with fire, but the financial equivalent of nuclear weapons.  Perhaps at one time when the federal debt was owned entirely by Americans we could afford to take a chance on debt default because the consequences would only be internal.  But today, more than half of the privately held public debt is owed to foreigners; the Chinese alone own more than $1.1 trillion of Treasury securities.  Moreover, many countries use Treasury securities as backing for their own currencies.  Thus the impact of default would be felt internationally, disrupting finances and economic policies throughout Asia, Europe and Latin America.

Therefore, a potential debt default is far more than a domestic consideration; it is a matter of foreign policy.  This is why Secretary of State Clinton and Navy Adm. Mike Mullen have warned that the public debt represents an important threat to national security.  As attorney Thomas Geoghegan recently put it, “Where the validity of the debt is concerned, our national security is at stake.”

Preventing default is no less justified
than using American military power
to protect against an armed invasion
without a congressional declaration of war.

 

The president would be justified in taking extreme actions to protect against a debt default.  In the event that congressional irresponsibility makes default impossible to avoid, he should order the secretary of the Treasury to simply disregard the debt limit and sell whatever securities are necessary to raise cash to pay the nation’s debts.  They are protected by the full faith and credit of the United States and preventing default is no less justified than using American military power to protect against an armed invasion without a congressional declaration of war.

Furthermore, it’s worth remembering that the debt limit is statutory law, which is trumped by the Constitution which has a little known provision that relates to this issue. Section 4 of the 14th Amendment says, “The validity of the public debt of the United States…shall not be questioned.”  This could easily justify the sort of extraordinary presidential action to avoid default that I am suggesting.

Some will raise a concern that potential buyers of Treasury securities may be scared off by a fear that bonds sold over the debt limit may not be backed by the full faith and credit of the United States.  However, given that the vast bulk of Treasury securities are 3-month bills that will turn over many, many times before this issue ever reaches the Supreme Court, it is doubtful than anyone will be concerned about that.  And the Federal Reserve could assure investors that it will always be a buyer for such securities.

People smarter than I am tell me that the Treasury has an almost infinite ability to avoid a debt crisis.  I hope they are right. But I am hypothesizing a situation in which the Treasury reaches the end of its rope and a day comes when it needs $X billion to pay interest and it has less than $X billion in cash.  Under those circumstances, when default is the only possible alternative, I believe that the president and the Treasury secretary would be justified in taking extraordinary action to prevent it, even if it means violating the debt limit.

Constitutional history is replete with examples where presidents justified extraordinary actions by extraordinary circumstances. During the George W. Bush administration many Republicans defended the most expansive possible reading of the president’s powers, especially concerning national security.  Since default on the debt would clearly have dire consequences for our relations with China, Japan and other large holders of Treasury securities, it’s hard to see how defenders of Bush’s policies would now say the president must stand by and do nothing when a debt default poses an imminent national security threat.

Given that the Supreme Court in recent years has been unusually deferential to executive prerogatives –I feel certain President Obama would be on firm constitutional ground should he challenge the debt limit in order to prevent a debt default. Should the Court rule in his favor, the debt limit would effectively become a dead letter.  Is that really the outcome Republicans want from a debt limit showdown?

~~~

If the good Lord is willing and the creek don't rise, I'll talk with you again on Tuesday December 11, 2012.

GOD BLESS YOU ALL

&

GOD BLESS THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Floyd

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